The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Delfín 26.8%
Draw 31.8%
Barcelona Guayaquil 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
32.5%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
32.2%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Delfín's form might have worsened.
Barcelona Guayaquil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona Guayaquil's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas J. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 6. Burdisso M. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 78. Ushina K. 34. Heredia G. 16. Castro L. 50. Ozaeta T. 8. Molinas I. A. 10. Mendoza E.
1. Contreras J. (C) 27. Vargas W. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 15. Perlaza J. 8. Celiz M. 32. Lugo M. 23. Martinez T. 80. Nunez S. 51. Wila J. 70. Mejia M.
Substitutes
9. Ayunta F. 33. Cabeza E. 19. Cavallaro J. 21. Heras B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 5. Medina O. 18. Morocho J. 29. Ratotti F. 99. Tenorio L. 30. Valverde J. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.
63. Caidedo K. 16. Cano L. 18. Carabali B. 26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 7. Gomez J. 5. Montano C. 11. Parrales M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 3. Sosa L. 4. Vallecilla G. 21. Villalba H.
Coaches
Zubeldia J.
Farias Acosta C. A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽, Ozaeta T. (A),
45+2', Molinas I. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mejia M. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
46', Molinas I. A. ↓, Ayunta F. ↑,
65', Ozaeta T. 🟨,
67', Castro L. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
67', Ozaeta T. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Celiz M. ⚽, Wila J. (A),
73', Vargas W. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
73', Perlaza J. ↓, Vallecilla G. ↑,
76', Castillo Saa J. L. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
77', Martinez T. ↓, Carabali B. ↑,
80', Nunez S. ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
89', Ushina K. ↓, Medina O. ↑,
90', Zuniga E. 🟨,
90+2', Rangel A. 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 2, Baez J. ⚽, Villalba H. (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Delfín has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:40. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Cardenas J. (G) 
Rubio E. 
Contreras J. (C) 
Baez J. 
Nunez S. 
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