Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 12

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Referee: Marin R. (Ecu)


	Delfín		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.7	3.5	4.8
	1.75	3.55	5.12
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.74	3.64	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.51 (3.51)	4.68 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
53.7%

Draw
26.4%

Gualaceo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.5%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Delfín - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: Delfín will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Corozo D. (G) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 18. Caicedo L. 2. Goitea N. 15. Mina J. 14. Jaramilo R. 8. Molina N. 7. Ruiz J. 10. Oyola B. 11. Rodriguez A. 19. Alman J.	27. Hinostroza W. (G) 15. Hernandez J. 25. Ndong O. 3. Ontaneda J. 62. Torres B. 18. Gongora J. 8. Flores F. 7. Patta Quintero H. L. 5. Verges J. 10. Preciado J. 11. Carrion J.
Substitutes
9. Blanco R. 16. Castro L. 27. Dominguez J. 3. Ferreira M. 6. Garcia E. 49. Mendoza K. 17. Penilla C. 55. Reyes M. 1. Rojas J. (G) 25. Rojas J. 22. Sanchez A.	13. Angulo A. 99. Angulo V. 26. Enriquez D. 34. Eras Quilambaqui T. A. (G) 33. Mercado H. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 21. Morocho R. 20. Quezada A.
Coaches
Duro G.	Vanegas L.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Delfín is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Delfín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Delfín won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.23	Cumbayá - Delfín	0:1 ✺
14.05.23	Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
08.05.23	LDU Quito - Delfín	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Delfín - El Nacional	2:0 ✺
21.04.23	Guayaquil City - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTWL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.23	Gualaceo - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	SD Aucas - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.10.22	Gualaceo - Delfín	2:1
Ecuadorian Copa
05.07.22	Delfín - Gualaceo	2:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.05.22	Delfín - Gualaceo	1:0

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