Match Info

ECUADOR: LIGA PRO - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 10

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)


	SD Aucas		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.57	4	5
	1.58	4.22	5.57
	1.6	3.6	5
	1.62	4.05	5.15	Watch
	1.59	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	3.98 ↑ (3.71)	5.14 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
58.7%

Draw
23.3%

Gualaceo
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.6%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.5%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

SD Aucas - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Aucas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aucas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.05.23	Barcelona Guayaquil - SD Aucas	5:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Ñublense - SD Aucas	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.04.23	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Racing - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.05.23	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Cuenca - Gualaceo	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Gualaceo - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Gualaceo - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.10.22	SD Aucas - Gualaceo	3:0
27.05.22	Gualaceo - SD Aucas	1:4

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