Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 28

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Den Bosch		Groningen

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.65
	5	3.6	1.63
	5	3.75	1.66	Watch
	5.3	3.75	1.68
	5.33	3.71	1.66
	5.5	3.9	1.5
	5.17	3.72	1.66	Watch
	5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.47)	3.73 ↓ (3.81)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
17.7%

Draw
25%

Groningen
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

23.4%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	7.7%	69.2%

Den Bosch - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Groningen will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Hegyi K. (G) 3. van den Bogert V. 15. van Grunsven T. 24. Maas S. 18. Mulders R. 4. Ikeshita Y. 30. Ogbaidze S. 14. de Groot N. 16. Vicario J. 9. Kotzebue V. 99. Kostorz K.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.
Substitutes
47. Barglan S. 21. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 45. Gyamfi D. 27. Henning R. 17. Kalinauskas T. 34. Keijser Y. 33. Laros M. 20. Leijten R. 5. Mbete L. 11. Verbeek D. 31. Vrolijks L. (G)	15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 20. Blokzijl T. 6. Duarte L. 22. Emeran N. 17. Lien K. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.
Coaches
Kaczmarek T.	Lukkien D.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Den Bosch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Groningen is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Club Friendly
27.02.24	Fortuna Sittard - Den Bosch	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.24	De Graafschap - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
16.02.24	Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	ADO Den Haag - Den Bosch	3:0 ✺
02.02.24	Den Bosch - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLTLT
- FC Groningen
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.02.24	Feyenoord - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.02.24	Groningen - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	FC Eindhoven - Groningen	0:3 ✺
11.02.24	Groningen - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
08.02.24	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.09.23	Groningen - Den Bosch	0:3

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