Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 26

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Jan Louwers Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	FC Eindhoven		Groningen

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.68
	4.75	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.7	3.9	1.73
	4.77	3.95	1.75
	4.6	3.75	1.62
	4.49	3.76	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.5)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	1.69 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Eindhoven
20.1%

Draw
24.7%

Groningen
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

25.6%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Eindhoven's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Eindhoven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

FC Eindhoven - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: Groningen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Brondeel J. (G) 18. Limouri F. 3. Amevor M. 15. Wouters L. 2. Ogenia J. 27. El Bouchataoui A. 6. Dorenbosch D. 7. Dahlhaus J. 10. Kokcu O. 9. Priske A. 22. Rottier E.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 5. Rente M. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 6. Duarte L. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.
Substitutes
12. Borgmans J. (G) 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 19. Garden D. 14. Kestens P. 20. Lieder M. 99. Persyn T. 32. Rego R. 25. Sas T. 23. Simons S. 5. Swerts M. 8. van Doorm S.	15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 20. Blokzijl T. 47. de Jonge T. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 27. Mendes R. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.
Coaches
Weijs W.	Lukkien D.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

FC Eindhoven is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Groningen is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Groningen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches FC Eindhoven won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.02.24	NAC Breda - FC Eindhoven	2:2 ✺
02.02.24	Emmen - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht	0:3 ✺
22.01.24	Roda - FC Eindhoven	3:0 ✺
19.01.24	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTLLL
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.02.24	Groningen - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
08.02.24	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.24	Dordrecht - Groningen	1:0 ✺
26.01.24	Groningen - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
22.01.24	Jong Ajax - Groningen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.23	Groningen - FC Eindhoven	2:1
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Groningen - FC Eindhoven	3:0

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