Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 6

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: MySteel Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Helmond Sport		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.80	2.25	Watch
	2.60	3.60	2.25
	2.65	3.60	2.20	Watch
	2.82	3.82	2.27
	2.7	3.84	2.31	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.20
	2.76	3.75	2.27	Watch
	2.65	3.65	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	2.25 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
34.1%

Draw
24.9%

Jong PSV
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.9%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Helmond Sport - Jong PSV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Jong PSV (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 20. Dekkers S. 4. Koglin B. (C) 43. Landheer T. 5. Poll T. 7. van der Sluijs J. 6. Ludwig M. 44. van der Velde X. 19. Ingason H. 11. Cicero L. 9. Bajrami L.	1. Smolenaars T. (G) 2. Penso K. 3. Bresser M. 4. Merien F. (C) 5. Verhulst G. 10. Cornecion S. 6. Mulders B. 8. Sidibe S. 7. Santos A. 9. Jones A. 11. Kluit F.
Substitutes
22. Dizdarevic A. 30. Ekoli K. 23. El Maach A. (G) 34. Essakkati T. 47. Geerts D. 14. Golic L. 17. Lantaki W. 94. Lenaerts M. 8. Llonch P. 35. Meissner N. 2. van Bree R. 21. Van der Heijden W. (G)	18. Colaes J. 17. Dumbili S. 23. Kuijsten S. (G) 15. Manuhutu R. 14. Monamay M. 16. Ngom K. (G) 21. Oldenstam L. 19. Oteng-Mensah K. 20. Schakenraad L.
Coaches
Frans F.	Schaars S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Cicero L. ⚽, Ingason H. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Penso K. ⚽, Mulders B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Merien F. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
46', Santos A. ↓, Dumbili S. ↑,
49', Dekkers S. 🟨,
60', Poll T. ↓, Lantaki W. ↑,
61', van der Velde X. ↓, Llonch P. ↑,
61', Bajrami L. ↓, Lenaerts M. ↑,
71', Ingason H. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
75', Kluit F. ↓, Oteng-Mensah K. ↑,
75', Penso K. ↓, Oldenstam L. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, van der Sluijs J. ⚽, Llonch P. (A),
77', 3 - 1, Essakkati T. ⚽, Cicero L. (A),
83', Sidibe S. ↓, Manuhutu R. ↑,
89', Cornecion S. 🟨,
90+2', Ludwig M. ↓, Golic L. ↑,
90+3', Koglin B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.

Helmond Sport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jong PSV is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:38. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Jong PSV: 0.59%

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Jong PSV	10	3	4	3	15:17	-2	13
17	Helmond	10	2	3	5	16:19	-3	9

Last Results with these Odds

Helmond Sport - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.09.26	Helmond Sport - VVV-Venlo	4:2 ✺
28.08.26	Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	Helmond Sport - Waalwijk	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Roda - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTLT
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.09.26	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Waalwijk - Jong PSV	2:2 ✺
24.08.26	Jong PSV - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
19.08.26	Sunderland U21 - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.01.26	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	4:0
08.11.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:3
14.03.25	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	1:1
30.09.24	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	1:3
19.01.24	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	2:2
28.08.23	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	2:1
10.03.23	Helmond Sport - Jong PSV	3:0

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