Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 20

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Den Bosch		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.8	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.95	3.2
	2.04	3.98	3.4
	1.97	3.9	3.34	Watch
	2	3.7	3.2
	1.99	3.79	3.29	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.13)	3.84 ↑ (3.62)	3.29 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
47.2%

Draw
24.4%

VVV-Venlo
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Den Bosch - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Den Bosch will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 42. Van Koeverden L. 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 6. Felida K. 10. van Leeuwen T. 33. Laros M. 17. Semedo E. 8. Monzialo K. 40. Boumassaoudi I.	13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 31. Davis M. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 16. Heise P. 5. de Blok L. 20. Eijgenraam J. 24. Odriss M. 7. Wehmeyer L. 8. van Oorschot D. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D.
Substitutes
47. Barglan S. 26. el Bakkali Z. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 48. Toussaint S. (G) 51. van Daalen S. 1. van Dee B. (G) 32. van Haaften H. 11. Verbeek D. 16. Wang B.	46. De Graef J. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 25. Foor N. 45. Janssen T. 15. Joosten T. 27. Kromah L. 26. Matoug N. 17. Saddiki D. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 3. Verheij L. . Vullers R.
Coaches
Landvreugd U.	Uneken P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', van Leeuwen T. 🟨,
64', Zandbergen D. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
73', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Verbeek D. ↑,
76', Barglan S. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
77', el Bakkali Z. 🟨,
79', Davis M. 🟨,
81', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Janssen T. ↑,
81', Davis M. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,
86', Felida K. 🟨,
86', Blancquart G. 🟨,
88', Ait Mouhou N. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
88', van Oorschot D. ↓, Foor N. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 1, Kromah L. ⚽, Foor N. (A),
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Den Bosch could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) van Zijl B. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Den Bosch: van Grunsven T. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.12.25	Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag	0:3 ✺
24.11.25	Almere City - VVV-Venlo	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - VVV-Venlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	0:1
18.04.25	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	0:0
25.10.24	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	1:2
26.04.24	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	2:3
20.10.23	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	1:2
10.03.23	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	4:0
19.11.22	Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo	0:2

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