Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 19

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Bos A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Cambuur		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.33	Watch
	1.6	4.45	4.45
	1.64	4.62	4.59
	1.66	4.51	4.2	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.4
	1.62	4.51	4.34	Watch
	1.63	4.33	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.47)	4.45 ↓ (4.89)	4.36 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cambuur
57.6%

Draw
21%

Den Bosch
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

19.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambuur's form might have worsened.

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambuur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cambuur - Den Bosch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cambuur will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 46. Nap J. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 42. Van Koeverden L. 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 10. van Leeuwen T. 6. Felida K. (C) 33. Laros M. 17. Semedo E. 8. Monzialo K. 40. Boumassaoudi I.
Substitutes
13. Binder N. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 24. Jonker T. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 33. Priem J. 8. Souren N. 14. van der Sande J. 30. van der Veen Y. 9. Visser K.	47. Barglan S. 38. Bodo D. 26. el Bakkali Z. 9. Karlsson Grach S. . van Daalen S. 31. van Dee B. (G) 34. van Dijk D. 16. Wang B.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Sjostrand O. ⚽, Ferrah I. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Rolke T. ⚽, Amofa J. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Monzialo K. ⚽, Semedo E. (A),
35', Fortes J. 🟨,
43', Monzialo K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Mulders R. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
63', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
74', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
75', Balk R. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
75', Nap J. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
78', Laros M. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
78', Van Koeverden L. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
78', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Bodo D. ↑,
84', Monzialo K. ↓, van Daalen S. ↑,
84', Ferrah I. ↓, Henstra I. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 1.

Cambuur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Den Bosch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambuur is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Den Bosch: van Grunsven T. (Injury)

We predict that Cambuur will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Cambuur - Helmond Sport	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Cambuur - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	Vitesse - Cambuur	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Cambuur - Jong Ajax	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWW
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.05.25	Cambuur - Den Bosch	1:1 ET
12.05.25	Den Bosch - Cambuur	1:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.03.25	Den Bosch - Cambuur	0:2
26.11.24	Cambuur - Den Bosch	1:2
22.12.23	Den Bosch - Cambuur	3:1
09.09.23	Cambuur - Den Bosch	3:1
09.04.21	Den Bosch - Cambuur	3:5

Upcoming Matches