Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Blank E. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Den Bosch		Willem II

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.38	3.7	2.62
	2.42	3.97	2.66
	2.63	3.70	2.38	Watch
	2.44	3.68	2.58	Watch
	2.33	3.8	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	2.56 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
38.5%

Draw
24.9%

Willem II
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

25.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

25.6%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	26.1%	65.2%

Den Bosch - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Willem II will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Willem II will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 22. Fortes J. 4. van Grunsven T. 3. Maas S. 5. de Groot N. 10. van Leeuwen T. 6. Felida K. (C) 33. Laros M. 17. Semedo E. 8. Monzialo K. 40. Boumassaoudi I.	1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 3. Stam F. 24. Tjoe a On N. 10. Schuurman J. (C) 6. Besselink G. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 20. El Allouchi M.
Substitutes
27. Akmum R. 47. Barglan S. 1. Bijlsma T. (G) 38. Bodo D. 46. Boushaba A. 26. el Bakkali Z. 31. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L. 39. Wolters R.	47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 11. Kehrer E. 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Landvreugd U.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Felida K. ⚽, Fortes J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Boumassaoudi I. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Ciranni A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Besselink G. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
57', Schuurman J. 🟨,
60', Stam F. 🟨,
67', Semedo E. ↓, Barglan S. ↑,
69', van Grunsven T. ↓, Van Koeverden L. ↑,
72', van Aalst U. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
79', Felida K. 🟨,
84', Schuurman J. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
85', Fortes J. 🟨,
86', Boumassaoudi I. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
89', El Allouchi M. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S. (Injury)

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Den Bosch - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.64%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWWLW
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Willem II - Emmen	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Willem II - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Jong PSV - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.03.24	Den Bosch - Willem II	1:4
15.10.23	Willem II - Den Bosch	3:1
02.04.23	Den Bosch - Willem II	0:2
07.10.22	Willem II - Den Bosch	1:2
02.02.14	Den Bosch - Willem II	0:1
04.08.13	Willem II - Den Bosch	2:2
Dutch Eredivisie
20.05.12	Willem II - Den Bosch	2:1

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