Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 15

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	Willem II		FC Oss

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.45	4.7
	1.62	4.52	4.77
	1.53	4.28	5.53	Watch
	1.62	4.15	4.66	Watch
	1.56	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	4.31 ↓ (4.6)	4.89 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
59.2%

Draw
21.7%

FC Oss
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

19.9%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

FC Oss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Willem II - FC Oss Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Willem II (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 3. Stam F. 4. Hoogma J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 19. van Aalst U. 20. El Allouchi M. 17. Bamba S. 9. Haen D.	1. Havekotte M. (G) 27. de Lannoy M. 2. Miguel L. 4. Lambrix X. 26. Kuijpers J. 23. Vianello D. 8. Esajas M. 75. Zimmerman J. 11. Remans M. 17. Hinoke M. 99. Doucoure S.
Substitutes
47. Baartmans S. 30. Behounek R. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 11. Kehrer E. 14. Mathijsen J. 10. Schuurman J. 41. van der Linden B. (G) 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.	31. Bernardina J. 33. de Wit K. 22. Erkan M. 16. Gaander C. . Marhoum Y. 19. Markx D. 12. Milder S. (G) 28. Mol L. 18. Pinto N. 7. Slagveer L. 5. Van Bost J.
Coaches
Stegeman J.	Ultee S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', van Aalst U. 🟨,
41', El Allouchi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Bamba S. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
58', van Aalst U. ↓, Schuurman J. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Kuijpers J. ⚽,
67', Doucoure S. ↓, Marhoum Y. ↑,
67', Zimmerman J. ↓, Slagveer L. ↑,
71', El Allouchi M. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
72', Hoogma J. 🟨,
78', Esajas M. ↓, Mol L. ↑,
79', Ciranni A. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
87', Remans M. ↓, Van Bost J. ↑,
87', Hinoke M. ↓, Erkan M. ↑,
90', Erkan M. 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Culum A. ⚽, Doodeman N. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Oss: Mariani M. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.11.25	Jong PSV - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.25	Willem II - MVV Maastricht	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	4:0 ✺
17.10.25	Waalwijk - Willem II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLW
- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.10.25	FC Oss - Helmond Sport	0:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	HHC Hardenberg - FC Oss	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Utrecht - FC Oss	0:0 ✺
21.10.25	FC Oss - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	De Graafschap - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.24	FC Oss - Willem II	0:5
03.10.23	Willem II - FC Oss	2:1
21.04.23	Willem II - FC Oss	4:0
23.09.22	FC Oss - Willem II	1:3
Club Friendly
13.07.19	Willem II - FC Oss	2:0
02.07.16	Willem II - FC Oss	1:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.03.14	Willem II - FC Oss	2:1

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