Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: van der Laan J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Willem II		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.1	3.9	Watch
	1.75	4.15	3.7
	1.81	4.24	4.08
	1.74	4.37	3.86	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.8
	1.76	3.96	3.95	Watch
	1.73	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	4.13 ↑ (4.02)	3.87 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
53.3%

Draw
22.6%

Dordrecht
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

23.1%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

22.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Willem II - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 3. Stam F. 24. Tjoe a On N. 10. Schuurman J. (C) 6. Besselink G. 20. El Allouchi M. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 11. Kehrer E.	63. Biai C. (G) 2. van Aken J. 4. Drakpe A. 23. Woudenberg L. (C) 5. Hilton J. 18. van Asten R. 8. Sunderland L. 16. Bae S. 11. Afaker M. 46. Eduardo Y. 14. Pynadath J.
Substitutes
47. Baartmans S. 17. Bamba S. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 48. Poortvliet J. 19. van Aalst U. 41. van der Bas V. (G) 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.	9. Carrillo S. 28. Codutti L. 1. Coremans T. (G) 27. Ezeb J. 24. Huitzing G. 20. Igor 15. M'Bemba Y. 10. van der Sluijs J. 7. Venema N. 77. Verdonk S. 21. Vetkal M. 25. Vugts S.
Coaches
Stegeman J.	Kuyt D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kehrer E. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
57', van Asten R. 🟨,
61', El Allouchi M. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
65', Pynadath J. ↓, Venema N. ↑,
67', Drakpe A. 🟨,
76', Schuurman J. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Haen D. ⚽,
82', Afaker M. ↓, M'Bemba Y. ↑,
82', van Asten R. ↓, Carrillo S. ↑,
87', Doodeman N. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
89', 2 - 0, Haen D. ⚽, van Aalst U. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Willem II is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:15. (average 2.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Den Bosch - Willem II	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	VVV-Venlo - Willem II	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Willem II - Emmen	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Willem II - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Jong PSV - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTTL
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
25.11.25	Roda - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Dordrecht - Vitesse	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jong Ajax - Dordrecht	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Dordrecht - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0
Dutch Eredivisie
24.05.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	4:2 penalties
21.05.25	Dordrecht - Willem II	2:1
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Dordrecht - Willem II	4:4
Dutch Eerste Divisie
03.05.24	Dordrecht - Willem II	1:1
18.08.23	Willem II - Dordrecht	2:0
10.02.23	Willem II - Dordrecht	1:0

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