Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1


	Willem II		Emmen

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.2	3.2	Watch
	1.92	3.95	3.35
	2	4.2	3.35
	1.89	4.03	3.26	Watch
	1.94	4.18	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	4.11 ↑ (4.03)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Willem II
48.5%

Draw
22.8%

Emmen
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

22.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

23.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Willem II - Emmen Predictions

Users Predictions: Willem II will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Willem II will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 3. Stam F. 24. Tjoe a On N. 10. Schuurman J. (C) 6. Besselink G. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Doodeman N. 47. Baartmans S. 11. Kehrer E.	38. Unbehaun L. (G) 24. Mesbahi J. 4. Ostergaard C. 34. Bolk G. 17. Larsen L. 25. Kongolo R. (C) 19. Claridge A. 8. Bakir A. 11. Amadin N. 9. Postema R. 77. Gerezgiher F.
Substitutes
17. Bamba S. 8. Culum A. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 20. El Allouchi M. 41. Kotte T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 22. van Loon P. 45. van Maarschalkerwaard P. 18. Zarrouk A.	22. Beukers D. 1. Bucker K. (G) 18. Evina F. 5. Geypens T. 27. Marheineke L. 16. Norder K. (G) 23. Oostra T. 15. Sunder C. 14. van Manen S.
Coaches
Stegeman J.	van Dam M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bolk G. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Kehrer E. ⚽, van Aalst U. (A),
58', Larsen L. ↓, van Manen S. ↑,
58', Mesbahi J. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
58', Amadin N. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
63', Schuurman J. ↓, Zarrouk A. ↑,
71', Besselink G. 🟨,
77', Kehrer E. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
77', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
82', Bakir A. ↓, Sunder C. ↑,
84', Baartmans S. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Sunder C. ⚽,
90+2', Ostergaard C. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Emmen has had a series of away games.

Willem II might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury) Rhein T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Willem II - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Jong PSV - Willem II	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
30.10.25	Willem II - Dordrecht	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.10.25	Willem II - MVV Maastricht	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTL
- FC Emmen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Emmen	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Emmen - Waalwijk	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	Hoogeveen - Emmen	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Jong Ajax - Emmen	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.03.24	Emmen - Willem II	2:0
01.12.23	Willem II - Emmen	3:0
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.21	Willem II - Emmen	2:0
27.09.20	Emmen - Willem II	1:1
22.02.20	Emmen - Willem II	4:2
24.08.19	Willem II - Emmen	2:1
12.05.19	Willem II - Emmen	2:3

Upcoming Matches