Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Deportes Antofagasta		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.33	3.25	1.87
	4.25	3.3	1.84	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.83
	4.49	3.58	1.83
	4	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.35	3.56	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.29)	3.38 ↑ (3.19)	1.83 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Antofagasta
21.5%

Draw
27.5%

Defensa y Justicia
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

29%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Antofagasta's form might have worsened.

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensa y Justicia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Antofagasta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	4.5%	84.1%

Deportes Antofagasta - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Antofagasta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensa y Justicia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antofagasta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Primera Division
02.04.22	Ñublense - Deportes Antofagasta	1:1 ✺
21.03.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión La Calera	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Unión Española	1:1 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.03.22	Unión Española - Deportes Antofagasta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTLLW
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Defensa y Justicia - River Plate	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.03.22	Defensa y Justicia - Sacachispas	4:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.03.22	Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
14.03.22	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Banfield - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWW

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