The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Concepción 53.4%
Draw 25%
Unión San Felipe 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.4%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
22.5%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Deportes Concepción have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Deportes Concepción - Unión San Felipe Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 22. L’Huillier N. 31. Kimura N. 16. Sandoval M. 19. Ovalle J. 23. Ojeda U. 26. Morales C. 27. Sepulveda N. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
1. Fuentes C. (G) 14. Cordova J. 2. Monteseirin F. (C) 8. Ferrari J. 16. Navarro P. 5. Leon A. 6. Gonzalez B. 26. Rodriguez P. 11. Riveros B. 7. Vergara S. 34. Cuellar D.
Substitutes
4. Caceres A. 9. Escobar C. 24. Espinola J. 30. Fuentes N. 8. Manzo F. 1. Munoz J. (G) 5. Silva S.
19. Gonzalez D. 31. Herrera H. 33. Lopes Acevedo M. 9. Munoz C. 28. Olea M. 10. Sagredo B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Gillard A. ⚽,
20', Leon A. 🟨,
24', Kimura N. 🟨,
31', Riveros B. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
42', Carrasco D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Ferrari J. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
61', Ojeda U. ↓, Caceres A. ↑,
62', Leon A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
63', Vergara S. (Pen),
64', 1 - 1, Vergara S. ⚽,
69', L’Huillier N. ↓, Espinola J. ↑,
77', Rodriguez P. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
77', Cuellar D. ↓, Munoz C. ↑,
80', Fuentes C. 🟨,
81', Ovalle J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Escobar C. ⚽,
88', Lopes Acevedo M. 🟨,
90', Morales C. 🟨,
90+1', Morales C. 🟨,
90+2', Gonzalez D. 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2.
Deportes Concepción has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Deportes Concepción is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 4.17 are the expected chance of winning is 22.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Araya N. (G) 
Ojeda U. 
Cordova J. 
Espinola J. 
Gonzalez D. 
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