Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 29

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.58	3	2.72
	2.27	3.25	2.99
	2.22	3.20	3.18	Watch
	2.68	3.04	2.73
	2.18	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.17)	3.1 (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
38.9%

Draw
29.9%

Deportes Concepción
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Rangers de Talca - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 3. Sanhueza M. 4. San Juan B. (C) 27. Servetti C. 8. Leyton S. 13. Mora A. 20. Moya G. 16. Araya J. 17. Ibanez I. 37. Sandoval M. 7. Reyes G.	25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 31. Kimura N. 26. Morales C. 24. Espinola J. 16. Sandoval M. 11. Valdivia B. 19. Ovalle J. 27. Sepulveda N. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J. (C)
Substitutes
14. Acuna S. 10. Alvarez G. 6. Barrientos F. 32. Jorquera C. 18. Lobos C. 15. Rodriguez C. 1. Rodriguez G. (G)	9. Escobar C. 22. L’Huillier N. 8. Manzo F. 1. Munoz J. (G) 23. Ojeda U. 5. Silva S. 20. Zambrano Diego

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Valdivia B. 🟨,
30', Araya J. 🟨,
36', Carrasco D. 🟨,
36', Kimura N. 🟨,
45+3', Reyes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Servetti C. 🟨,
58', Valdivia B. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
59', Moya G. 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Ibanez I. ⚽,
78', Ovalle J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
78', Araya J. ↓, Lobos C. ↑,
83', Reyes G. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
86', Morales C. 🟨,
89', Sandoval M. ↓, Barrientos F. ↑,
90+2', Ibanez I. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
90+2', Mora A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Rangers is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportes Concepción has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rangers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rangers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rangers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.10.25	Deportes Recoleta - Rangers de Talca	2:3 ✺
13.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Rangers de Talca - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rangers de Talca - Universidad de Concepción	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWL
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.10.25	Deportes Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Deportes Concepción - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.06.25	Deportes Concepción - Rangers de Talca	1:2

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