Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 29

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go


	Rangers de Talca		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.75	6
	1.53	3.72	6.01
	1.59	3.7	6.02	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.8
	1.55	3.76	5.81
	1.55	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (3.11)	3.71 ↑ (3.08)	5.84 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
59.5%

Draw
24.8%

Deportes La Serena
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

30%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

29.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rangers de Talca's performance.

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes La Serena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rangers de Talca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+25.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Rangers de Talca - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rangers will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rangers: 57.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez G. (G) 4. San Juan B. 14. Acuna S. 18. Felipe S. 25. Diaz C. 10. Gonzalez M. E. 21. Sanhueza Esparza P. 27. Caroca I. 7. Reyes G. 9. Gotti G. 24. Abalos A. (C)	1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 4. Duran V. 17. Guerrero E. (C) 20. Sanhueza D. 28. Delgado A. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 6. Diaz S. 8. Molina S. 10. Gallegos S. 21. Espinoza E. 9. Altamirano L.
Substitutes
19. Alegre M. 16. Araya J. 3. Bellocq F. 5. Carvajal E. 2. Contreras J. J. 13. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 20. Moya G.	24. Carreno L. 13. Castillo M. 16. Figueroa J. 37. Gallardo G. 23. Melendez R. 31. Tapia J. (G) 29. Torres Gaete C. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Felipe S. 🟨,
35', Sanhueza Esparza P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Caroca I. 🟥,
55', 0 - 1, Delgado A. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
70', Delgado A. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
70', Molina S. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
76', Reyes G. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
77', Acuna S. ↓, Moya G. ↑,
77', Abalos A. ↓, Bellocq F. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Gotti G. ⚽,
83', Gallegos S. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+6', Diaz S. ↓, Gallardo G. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.10.24	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Rangers de Talca - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Santiago Morning - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWTW
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.10.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes La Serena	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes La Serena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.05.24	Deportes La Serena - Rangers de Talca	0:0
23.07.23	Rangers de Talca - Deportes La Serena	0:2
06.03.23	Deportes La Serena - Rangers de Talca	0:0

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