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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 47.5%
Draw 27.2%
Santiago Wanderers 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
27.4%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
28.2%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Santiago Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Deportes La Serena - Santiago Wanderers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes La Serena will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 4. Rojas J. 2. Zanini A. 5. Alarcon L. 16. Gutierrez C. 6. Diaz S. (C) 14. Chamorro F. 18. Gallegos S. 23. Pinto M. 22. Ovando L. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A.
1. Miranda E. (G) 23. Gonzalez V. 3. Margas L. 4. Espinoza V. 17. Herrera A. 29. Gatica J. 30. Espinoza E. 8. Pereyra J. (C) 7. Opazo D. 9. Monreal J. 11. Valladares J.
Substitutes
12. Cerda F. (G) 33. Cordero D. 19. Cortes M. 3. Ferreyra N. 29. Jhonatan Kauan 21. Ramirez M. 8. Rivera M. 10. Vargas J. 15. Villarroel M.
26. Astroza Zambrano C. A. 27. Cuadra M. 13. Cubillos F. 18. Felipe S. 10. Luna J. 12. Martinez B. (G) 5. Navarro L. 16. Parra R. 6. Torres Quintana D.
Coaches
Paulucci C.
Sorace D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Pinto M. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
33', Paulucci C. 🟨,
33', Paulucci C. 🟨,
34', Zanini A. 🟨,
37', Valladares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
53', Rojas J. 🟨,
53', Gutierrez C. 🟨,
57', Gonzalez V. 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽, Gutierrez C. (A),
59', Diaz S. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
65', Opazo D. ↓, Cuadra M. ↑,
65', Valladares J. ↓, Luna J. ↑,
65', Herrera A. ↓, Felipe S. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Chamorro F. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
76', Monreal J. ↓, Astroza Zambrano C. A. ↑,
76', Pereyra J. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Cuadra M. ⚽, Espinoza V. (A),
80', Pinto M. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
80', Ovando L. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
83', Navarro L. 🟨,
87', 4 - 1, Vargas J. (Pen),
90', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Ferreyra N. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 2, Espinoza E. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 2.
Recent form of Deportes La Serena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santiago Wanderers is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santiago Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportes La Serena might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).