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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 35.9%
Draw 28.4%
Unión Española 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
29.5%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
28.1%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Deportes La Serena - Unión Española Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cerda F. (G) 4. Rojas J. 2. Zanini A. 5. Alarcon L. 26. Dinamarca F. 10. Vargas J. 14. Chamorro F. 6. Diaz S. (C) 18. Gallegos S. 22. Ovando L. 24. Diaz F.
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 10. Uribe A. 6. Jauregui B. 5. Nadruz A. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 7. Ovelar F. 23. Jeraldino I.
Substitutes
13. Carreno L. 27. Dubo Vergara R. M. 3. Ferreyra N. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 29. Jhonatan Kauan 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 15. Villarroel M.
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 18. Espinoza F. 11. Montes C. 14. Nunez I. 1. Parra M. (G) 26. Roco B. 15. Vasquez R.
Coaches
Duran E.
Sierra Jose L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Gallegos S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Diaz S. 🟨,
61', Gallegos S. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
62', Chamorro F. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
62', Vargas J. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
66', Ovelar F. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
66', Norambuena G. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,
78', Jhonatan Kauan ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
79', Aranguiz P. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
90+1', Carvallo U. B. A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 2.
Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Unión Española has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Unión Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.8:1.2).