The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 64.4%
Draw 22%
Deportes Tolima 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.3%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
29%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-26.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente del Valle that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 17. Rodriguez A. 28. Quintana H. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 9. Gonzalez C.
1. Neto Volpi (G) 17. Arrieta C. 71. Osorio Y. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 33. Mosquera J. 32. Guzman S. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 24. Parra Osorio A. 7. Hurtado J. 15. Aguayo S.
Substitutes
50. Angulo J. 16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 70. Peralta M. (G) 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.
3. Angulo J. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 18. Florez K. 28. Lopez E. 70. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pedrozo D. 16. Reyes V. 10. Sanchez L. 8. Valencia E. 11. Valencia J.
Coaches
Papa J.
Oliveros S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Romero Padilla D. A. ⚽,
62', Aguayo S. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
62', Mosquera J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
65', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
67', Quintana H. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Romero Padilla D. A. (A),
74', Sornoza J. 🟨,
76', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
76', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
76', Pata E. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
80', Guzman S. 🟨,
82', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
82', Sornoza J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez A. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Perello M. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
Preview
Second leg.
Ind del Valle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Deportes Tolima has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Ind del Valle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now
Deportes Tolima: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Deportes Tolima - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.04%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Bolivia
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Italy
Peru
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Quintana A. (G) 
Romero Padilla D. A. 
Carabajal M. 
Quintana H. 
Neto Volpi (G) 
Osorio Y. 
Aguayo S. 
Viacava J. 
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