Match Info

Date: 29 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Portugal	Sport TV


	Deportes Tolima		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.25
	3.3	3.2	2.28
	3.25	3.05	2.25
	3.42	3.26	2.34
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.26	3.2	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (4.05)	3.14 ↓ (3.44)	2.27 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
28.5%

Draw
30%

Flamengo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

27%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flamengo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	25.5%	61.7%

Deportes Tolima - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 12.8%). Flamengo will win (votes: 29 - 61.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 25.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 47.8% – 75.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Deportes Tolima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Flamengo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
26.06.22	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	2:1 ✺
22.06.22	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
16.06.22	Deportes Tolima - Envigado	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo La Equidad - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.22	Flamengo - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.06.22	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.06.22	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	2:0 ✺
15.06.22	Flamengo - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
11.06.22	Internacional RS - Flamengo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

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