Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Referee: Toro S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportes Tolima		Rionegro Águilas

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.75	3.63	5.3
	1.78	3.38	4.83	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.6
	1.73	3.44	4.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	3.47 ↓ (3.69)	4.97 ↓ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
54.1%

Draw
27.1%

Rionegro Águilas
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Deportes Tolima will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 4. Pedrozo D. 3. Angulo J. 17. Arrieta C. 31. Moreno Y. 80. Rovira B. (C) 32. Guzman S. 8. Valencia E. 24. Parra Osorio A. 10. Torres Patino J. P. 9. Sandoval L.	12. Salazar A. (G) 29. Lopes H. 2. Garcia J. 5. Hernandez D. 26. Lozano D. 19. Lozano F. (C) 25. Roa J. 32. Mena J. 8. Ricaurte A. 9. Rivaldo J. 99. Obregon J.
Substitutes
13. Alvarez E. 7. Gonzalez J. 22. Marquinez L. (G) 5. Mera J. 33. Mosquera J. 21. Parra Y. A. 16. Reyes V. 29. Sanchez N. 6. Trujillo C.	24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 20. Higgins A. 34. Hurtado J. (G) 16. Pineda J. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 10. Uruena B. 3. Varela J.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Nino J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Moreno Y. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Rivaldo J. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Valencia E. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
43', 1 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽,
45+2', Lopes H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Rivaldo J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
56', Ricaurte A. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
56', Lopes H. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
61', Roa J. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
62', Moreno Y. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
62', Arrieta C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
63', Sandoval L. 🟨,
69', Hernandez D. 🟨,
70', 3 - 1, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
73', 4 - 1, Sandoval L. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
74', Obregon J. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
76', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
76', Rovira B. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.

Deportes Tolima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rionegro Águilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rionegro Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportes Tolima is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Deportes Tolima will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:16. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
28.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Deportes Tolima - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Deportes Tolima - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWTW
- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
27.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.11.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2
25.05.25	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	1:2
02.11.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	0:1
12.04.24	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	2:1
02.12.23	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	0:1
18.11.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	0:4
29.07.23	Deportes Tolima - Rionegro Águilas	1:1

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