Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Deportivo A Coruña		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.5	1.3	Watch
	8.3	5.4	1.34
	8.41	5.43	1.33
	7.5	4.8	1.33	Watch
	7.99	5.57	1.34	Watch
	8.5	5	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.03 ↑ (7.24)	5.28 ↑ (4.69)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
11.7%

Draw
17.7%

Atlético Madrid
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

19.9%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

19.1%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Deportivo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parreno G. (G) 2. Altimira A. 4. Noubi L. 5. Barcia D. 12. Quagliata G. 11. Mella D. 20. Jurado J. (C) 6. Patino C. 17. Herrera C. 21. Soriano M. 9. Eddahchouri Z.	1. Musso J. (G) 16. Molina N. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 14. Llorente M. 5. Cardoso J. 10. Baena A. 19. Alvarez J. 7. Griezmann A. (C)
Substitutes
37. Carillo N. 3. Comas A. 19. Cruz Luismi 18. Escudero S. 16. Gragera J. 10. Hernandez Y. 35. Lopez R. 15. Loureiro M. 7. Mulattieri S. 32. Nsongo B. 13. Puerto E. (G)	11. Almada T. 8. Barrios P. 29. Belaid R. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 2. Gimenez J. M. 24. Le Normand R. 30. Martinez D. 13. Oblak J. (G) 6. Serrano J. 9. Sorloth A.
Coaches
Hidalgo A.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Herrera C. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
58', Mella D. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
58', Baena A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
58', Alvarez J. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
58', Molina N. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
66', Soriano M. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
66', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Carillo N. ↑,
84', Simeone G. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,
84', Patino C. ↓, Nsongo B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 0.

In recent matches, Deportivo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Deportivo: Bachmann D. (Injury) Escudero S. (Muscle Injury) Navarro X. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.4:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey for now

Atl. Madrid: 10.72% Dep. A Coruna: 1.04%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.26	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	FC Andorra - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TTLWL
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish Supercopa
08.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
01.04.18	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
04.11.17	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	0:1
02.03.17	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	1:1
25.09.16	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
12.03.16	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0
30.10.15	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	1:1
18.04.15	Deportivo A Coruña - Atlético Madrid	1:2

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