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Atlético Madrid - Valencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 16
  • Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)
  • Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Atlético Madrid Valencia
    Atlético Madrid Valencia
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.31 ↓
    (1.33)    		 5.47 ↑
    (4.92)    		 10.04 ↓
    (10.15)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Atlético Madrid
    73%    		Draw
    17.5%    		Valencia
    9.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    71.4% 19.3% 9.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    86.7% 10% 3.3%

    Atlético Madrid - Valencia Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Atlético (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 9 - 90%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    13. SloveniaOblak J. (G)
    16. ArgentinaMolina N.
    18. SpainPubill M.
    17. SlovakiaHancko D.
      3. ItalyRuggeri M.
    20. ArgentinaSimeone G.
      8. SpainBarrios P.
      6. SpainKoke (C)
    23. ArgentinaGonzalez N.
      9. NorwaySorloth A.
    19. ArgentinaAlvarez J.
    		25. SpainAgirrezabala J. (G)
    20. GuadeloupeFoulquier D.
    24. SwitzerlandComert E.
      3. SpainCopete J.
    21. SpainVazquez J.
    12. PortugalCorreia T.
    18. SpainPepelu (C)
    23. SwitzerlandUgrinic F.
    16. SpainLopez D.
      9. SpainDuro H.
    10. PortugalAlmeida A.
    Substitutes
    11. ArgentinaAlmada T.
    32. SpainBonar J.
      5. USACardoso J.
    21. SpainGalan J.
      4. EnglandGallagher C.
      7. FranceGriezmann A.
    15. FranceLenglet C.
    24. SpainLe Normand R.
    12. SpainMartin C.
    30. SpainMartinez D.
      1. ArgentinaMusso J. (G)
    22. ItalyRaspadori G.
    		15. ArgentinaBeltran L.
      7. NetherlandsDanjuma A.
      1. NorthDimitrievski S. (G)
    14. SpainGaya J.
      8. SpainGuerra J.
    29. SpainNunez L.
    27. SpainOtorbi D.
    32. SpainPanach A.
    19. SpainRaba D.
    17. BelgiumRamazani L.
    26. SpainRubo
    22. FranceSantamaria B.
    Coaches
         ArgentinaSimeone D.
    		     SpainCorberan C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 17', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
    • 32', Pubill M. 🟨,
    • 42', Sorloth A. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Molina N. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
    • 55', Lopez D. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
    • 59', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
    • 59', Alvarez J. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
    • 59', Barrios P. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
    • 63', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ⚽, Almeida A. (A),
    • 71', Comert E. ↓, Santamaria B. ↑,
    • 72', Ugrinic F. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
    • 74', 2 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽, Pubill M. (A),
    • 82', Vazquez J. ↓, Gaya J. ↑,
    • 82', Pepelu ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
    • 88', Duro H. 🟨,
    • 88', Simeone D. 🟨,
    • 90', Almada T. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4.
  • Recent performances by Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Valencia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Atlético is the undisputed favorite.
  • There will not play in Atlético: Baena A. (Hamstring Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)
  • There will not play in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Hamstring Injury) Tarrega C. (Yellow Cards)
  • There are questionable in Valencia: Gaya J. (Illness) Rioja L. (Illness)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:17. (average 2:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.4:0.7).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    09.12.25 PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid 2:3 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.12.25 Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid 1:0 ✺
    02.12.25 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 3:1 ✺
    29.11.25 Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo 2:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    26.11.25 Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8
    WLLWW
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    07.12.25 Valencia - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    04.12.25 Cartagena - Valencia 1:2 ET ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    01.12.25 Rayo Vallecano - Valencia 1:1 ✺
    21.11.25 Valencia - Levante 1:0 ✺
    09.11.25 Valencia - Betis 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6
    TWTWT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.02.25 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3
    15.09.24 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:0
    28.01.24 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 2:0
    16.09.23 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 3:0
    18.03.23 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:0
    29.08.22 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:1
    22.01.22 Atlético Madrid - Valencia 3:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Atlético Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    13.10.26 Atlético Madrid - Manchester United ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid ✺
    - CF Valencia
    Spanish LaLiga
    11.10.26 Racing Santander - Valencia ✺

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