Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 20

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Achuapa		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.65	3.3	4.7
	1.55	3.73	5.59
	1.51	3.95	5.85	Watch
	1.52	3.85	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	5.25 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Achuapa
57.4%

Draw
25.2%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Achuapa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Achuapa won 1.

Achuapa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Lucía is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Achuapa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Achuapa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Achuapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.04.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:2 ✺
08.04.23	Municipal - Deportivo Achuapa	5:1 ✺
05.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Comunicaciones	0:2 ✺
01.04.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Achuapa	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLL
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
05.04.23	Cobán Imperial - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.02.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
25.09.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	2:1
24.07.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0
20.03.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0
23.01.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:3
06.11.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Achuapa	0:0
29.08.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:2

Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa