Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Fotboll, TV4
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Deportivo Alavés		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.6
	1.8	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.81	3.75	4.8
	1.82	3.72	4.74
	1.7	3.7	4.6
	1.77	3.8	4.65	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)	4.67 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
53.8%

Draw
25.7%

Almería
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

24.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	2.1%	10.4%

Deportivo Alavés - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (42 of 48 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.14% – 96.86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 5. Abqar A. 4. Sedlar A. 27. Lopez J. 8. Blanco A. 6. Guevara A. 11. Rioja L. (C) 10. Hagi I. 18. Guridi J. 15. Garcia K.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 24. Mendes H. 3. Gonzalez E. 21. Chumi 15. Akieme S. 5. Robertone L. (C) 8. Puigmal A. 6. Lopy D. 7. Ramazani L. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Melero G.
Substitutes
17. Alkain X. 35. Diallo Selu M. 3. Duarte R. 9. Karrikaburu J. 19. Maras N. 16. Marin R. 43. Montero R. (G) 32. Omorodion S. 31. Owono J. (G) 21. Rebbach A. 7. Sola A. 14. Tenaglia N.	19. Arribas S. 4. Baba I. 10. Embarba A. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 29. Milovanovic M. 22. Montes C. 17. Pozo A. 34. Sanca M.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Garitano G.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Recent matches Alavés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Almería is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Deportivo Murcia - Deportivo Alavés	0:10 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Villarreal - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTL
- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Girona - Almería	5:2 ✺
06.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	5:0
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.16	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:1
20.09.15	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	0:2

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