Match Info

LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
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Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
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Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
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Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
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Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.37	3	3.25
	2.38	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.27	2.98	4.04
	2.27	3.08	3.48	Watch
	2.46	3.17	3.41	Watch
	2.36	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	3.49 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
41%

Draw
31.5%

Elche
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	64%	8%

Deportivo Alavés - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Elche will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Alavés (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Alavés (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 3. Yusi 8. Blanco A. (C) 19. Ibanez P. 20. Calebe 15. Boye L. 21. Rebbach A. 11. Martinez T.	13. Pena I. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 19. Diangana G. 14. Febas A. 8. Aguado M. 11. Valera G. 20. Rodriguez A. 10. Mir R.
Substitutes
10. Alena C. 30. Ballestero C. 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 29. Morcillo D. 24. Parada V. 28. Pinillos Wilson L. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Suarez D. 7. Vicente C.	9. Andre Silva 32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 35. Houary A. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Pacheco J. 🟨,
37', Calebe ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
39', Blanco A. 🟨,
40', Diangana G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Diangana G. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
69', Mir R. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
72', Blanco A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
72', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
72', Rebbach A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Vicente C. (Pen),
79', Affengruber D. 🟥,
80', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽, Alena C. (A),
85', Neto M. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
85', Rodriguez A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
85', Martinez T. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
89', Jonny Otto 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Valera G. (A),
90+5', 3 - 1, Boye L. ⚽, Alena C. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alavés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury) Garces F. (Suspended)

There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Muscle Injury) Mendoza R. (International duty) Pedrosa A. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Diaz M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.25	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTLWT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Elche - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Osasuna - Elche	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Elche - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.02.22	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
26.10.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.21	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
18.10.20	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.16	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:0
21.11.15	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:1

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