Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Andorra	19:30	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	14:30	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	03:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	19:30	DAZN
Azerbaijan	21:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	23:30	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	14:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	20:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	14:30	Disney+
China	01:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:30	Disney+
Croatia	19:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	19:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	19:30	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	20:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	19:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	21:30	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Sport 1, Silk Sport 3
Germany	19:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	20:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	01:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	19:30	TV2 Play Premium
India	23:00	FanCode
Indonesia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	19:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	02:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	20:30	Gotv
Kosovo	19:30	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 2
Kyrgyzstan	23:30	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	00:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	22:30	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	19:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	11:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	18:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	19:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	12:30	Disney+
Philippines	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	19:30	Canal+ Extra 4, CANAL+ Sport 3
Portugal	18:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	20:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	19:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	01:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	19:30	Voyo
Slovenia	19:30	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	19:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
Spain	19:30	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	19:30	TV4 Play
Switzerland	19:30	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Tajikistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	20:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	20:30	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	18:30	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	14:30	Disney+
Usa	13:30	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	22:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	13:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:30	K+, SCTV 15


	Osasuna		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.96	3.34	4.76
	1.23	5.54	14.83	Watch
	2.02	3.3	4.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)	3.71 ↑ (3.13)	6.63 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
56.7%

Draw
27.8%

Elche
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

30.3%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

30.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osasuna's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	16.3%	14.3%

Osasuna - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 33 - 68.8%). Elche will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 55.7% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Osasuna (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Osasuna (1.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Elche (3.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Osasuna will win (15 of 20 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 17 - 68%). Elche (votes: 3 - 12%). Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (C) 22. Boyomo F. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 2. Benito I. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 16. Gomez M. 23. Bretones A. 17. Budimir A. 21. Munoz V.	13. Pena I. (G) 39. Fort H. 23. Chust V. 4. Diaby B. (C) 21. Petrot L. 15. Nunez A. 14. Febas A. 8. Aguado M. 19. Diangana G. 20. Rodriguez A. 9. Andre Silva
Substitutes
11. Barja K. 18. Becker S. 3. Cruz J. 26. Echegoyen M. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A. 27. Pedroarena M. 34. Ruiz R. C. 31. Stamatakis D. (G)	22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 32. Boayar A. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 10. Mir R. 3. Pedrosa A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 11. Valera G.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Munoz V. ⚽, Catena A. (A),
29', Moncayola J. 🟨,
32', Chust V. 🟨,
45', Boyomo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diaby B. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
55', Andre Silva ↓, Mir R. ↑,
69', Diangana G. ↓, Valera G. ↑,
69', Fort H. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
70', Sarabia E. 🟥,
72', Benito I. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
72', Munoz V. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
80', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
84', Nunez A. ↓, Josan ↑,
85', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
86', Gomez M. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Pedrosa A. ⚽, Febas A. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Osasuna is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Osasuna: Oroz A. (Foot Injury) Rosier V. (Red Card)

There will not play in Elche: Neto M. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
31.08.25	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Osasuna - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
21.09.25	Elche - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Madrid - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.04.23	Osasuna - Elche	2:1
22.01.23	Elche - Osasuna	1:1
01.05.22	Elche - Osasuna	1:1
29.11.21	Osasuna - Elche	1:1
18.04.21	Osasuna - Elche	2:0
22.12.20	Elche - Osasuna	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
22.04.19	Elche - Osasuna	1:2

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