Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 17

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Deportivo Alavés		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.7	3.45	5.3	Watch
	1.73	3.35	4.8
	1.78	3.42	5.54
	1.73	3.4	5	Watch
	1.74	3.52	4.95	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	5.12 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
54.4%

Draw
27.3%

Villarreal B
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.4%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	6.7%	3.3%

Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.26% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 11).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (16.52%), has project points - 69, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a chance of promoted (38%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 16 (7.27%), has project points - 53, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 32, importance 39, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alavés to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
20.11.22	Eibar - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Lleida - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWTW
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Huesca - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
02.11.22	Villarreal B - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Villarreal B - FC Andorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTW

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