The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Alavés 50.1%
Draw 30.9%
Burgos 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
29.4%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
21.9%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.3%
15.1%
22.6%
Deportivo Alavés - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 33 - 62.3%). Burgos will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 49.3% – 75.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Alavés has the most likely position - 4 (9.01%), has project points - 63, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Burgos has the most likely position - 5 (8.01%), has project points - 62, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
This event has quality33, importance38, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Alavés is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burgos has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Alavés is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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