Match Info

LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	23:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	18:00	Begin
Bolivia	08:00	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	09:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	09:00	DirecTV Sports
China	20:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	07:00	DirecTV Sports
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	16:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	17:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kosovo	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	17:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	14:00	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	07:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	15:00	Orange TV Go
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	20:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	15:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	08:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	19:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.5	Watch
	2.37	3	3.25
	2.38	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.27	2.98	4.04
	2.27	3.08	3.48	Watch
	2.46	3.17	3.41	Watch
	2.36	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	3.04 ↓ (3.09)	3.49 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
41%

Draw
31.5%

Elche
27.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	64%	8%

Deportivo Alavés - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Elche will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Alavés (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Alavés (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 3. Yusi 8. Blanco A. (C) 19. Ibanez P. 20. Calebe 15. Boye L. 21. Rebbach A. 11. Martinez T.	13. Pena I. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 19. Diangana G. 14. Febas A. 8. Aguado M. 11. Valera G. 20. Rodriguez A. 10. Mir R.
Substitutes
10. Alena C. 30. Ballestero C. 9. Diaz M. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 29. Morcillo D. 24. Parada V. 28. Pinillos Wilson L. 23. Protesoni C. 4. Suarez D. 7. Vicente C.	9. Andre Silva 32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 18. Donald J. 35. Houary A. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 16. Neto M. 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 7. Santiago Y.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Pacheco J. 🟨,
37', Calebe ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
39', Blanco A. 🟨,
40', Diangana G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Diangana G. ↓, Neto M. ↑,
69', Mir R. ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
72', Blanco A. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
72', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
72', Rebbach A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Vicente C. (Pen),
79', Affengruber D. 🟥,
80', Aguado M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Martinez T. ⚽, Alena C. (A),
85', Neto M. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
85', Rodriguez A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
85', Martinez T. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
89', Jonny Otto 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Valera G. (A),
90+5', 3 - 1, Boye L. ⚽, Alena C. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alavés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Diarra M. (Foot Injury) Garces F. (Suspended)

There will not play in Elche: Fort H. (Muscle Injury) Mendoza R. (International duty) Pedrosa A. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Alavés: Diaz M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.25	Mallorca - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Getafe - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LTLWT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Elche - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
25.09.25	Osasuna - Elche	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Elche - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.02.22	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
26.10.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.21	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
18.10.20	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.16	Deportivo Alavés - Elche	0:0
21.11.15	Elche - Deportivo Alavés	0:1

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