Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Deportivo Cali		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.8
	1.65	3.45	5.4	Watch
	1.67	3.59	5.83
	1.65	3.55	5.64	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.5
	1.66	3.42	5.6	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.69)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	5.44 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
55.9%

Draw
27%

Fortaleza CEIF
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

27.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26.2%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 3. Correa A. 39. Orozco M. 6. Pajaro R. 19. Martinez J. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 77. Montoya J. 23. Titi	12. Santander C. (G) 7. Martinez J. 18. Balanta J. 6. Diaz Y. 3. Ramirez D. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 14. Pico L. (C) 11. Amaya A. 33. Arroyo A. 26. Rivas Torres R. D. 19. Pulicastro F.
Substitutes
11. Aponza J. 25. Colorado A. 33. Galindo J. 8. Giraldo D. 14. Mena J. 21. Quinones J. 13. Quintero Y. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J.	16. Cajares J. 15. Cuero S. 5. Medina Obando J. 8. Navarro S. 20. Orozco C. 22. Palacios J. 1. Silva M. (G) 23. Sinisterra J. 10. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Oliveros S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hurtado A. ⚽,
7', Rivas Torres R. D. 🟨,
32', Orozco M. 🟨,
45', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montoya J. ↓, Colorado A. ↑,
61', Amaya A. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
61', Pulicastro F. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
74', Balanta J. 🟨,
75', Orozco M. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
75', Hurtado A. ↓, Mena J. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Rivas Torres R. D. ⚽, Pico L. (A),
90', Ramirez D. 🟨,
90+4', Arroyo A. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
90+4', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Deportivo Cali is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
16	Fortaleza	13	1	8	4	14:19	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
21.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Cali	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Millonarios	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLTW
- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
21.02.26	Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
24.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
09.02.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0
Colombian Copa
24.09.24	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 penalties
17.09.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0
Colombian Primera A
29.07.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	2:1
30.01.24	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0
Colombian Copa
12.05.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:1

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