The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 46%
Draw 30.5%
Unión Magdalena 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.1%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Magdalena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. La Equidad (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo La Equidad will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 16. Montano B. 2. Vivas C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Masllorens J. 14. Colorado J. (C) 23. Castilla J. 8. Monaco M. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 7. Micolta Piedahita J.
1. Mattalia J. (G) 3. Ramos N. 4. Murillo D. 15. Urrego Hector 30. Mosquera D. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 28. Mercado J. 10. Sarmiento J. 21. Marquez R. 29. Contreras J.
Substitutes
20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 1. Beltran E. (G) 15. Bolivar J. 10. Mayo S. 22. Pena D. 19. Quinonez B. 9. Valencia J.
7. Aleman J. 16. Congo J. 20. Giraldo J. 80. Hinojosa R. 11. Martinez M. 6. Ortiz D. 12. Tasso M. (G)
Coaches
Merino D.
Garcia A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mattalia J. 🟨,
44', Contreras J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽, Urrego Hector (A),
52', Colpa Bolano R. R. 🟨,
63', Montano B. ↓, Angel Amaya Pena M. ↑,
64', Masllorens J. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
64', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
69', Mercado J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
73', Monaco M. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
78', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
78', Marquez R. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
78', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
90+5', Cantillo F. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 1.
Recent performances by La Equidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Unión Magdalena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
La Equidad might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
Colombia
South-america
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Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 
Vivas C. 
Masllorens J. 
Monaco M. 
Ramos N. 
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