Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Unión Magdalena		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.3	5.5	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.25	2.98	3.5	Watch
	1.74	3.25	5.9
	1.31	4.81	10.28	Watch
	2.38	2.8	3.25
	2.24	3.04	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.15)	3.3 ↑ (2.95)	5 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Magdalena
50.1%

Draw
30.1%

Deportivo Pasto
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Magdalena's performance.

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pasto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Magdalena: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Magdalena (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Murillo D. 15. Urrego Hector 3. Ramos N. 30. Mosquera D. 8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 10. Sarmiento J. 28. Mercado J. 80. Hinojosa R. 21. Marquez R.	1. Martinez D. (C) 4. Caicedo L. 24. Alarcon A. 23. Rios J. 52. Bernal J. 31. Valencia J. 17. Jaramillo F. 70. Espinal F. 77. Bone F. 19. Valois Y. 21. Rivas J.
Substitutes
17. Arrieta G. 16. Congo J. 20. Giraldo J. 9. Iguaran C. 27. Lerma J. 11. Martinez M. 6. Ortiz D. 12. Tasso M. (G) 26. Tello J.	12. Cabezas V. (G) 22. Camacho D. 32. Goyes H. 3. Jimenez M. S. 11. Mendez J. 28. Preciado P. 10. Ritacco G. 38. Villa F.
Coaches
Silva C.	Ayala C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Marquez R. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
17', Cantillo F. 🟨,
32', Espinal F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bernal J. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
46', Espinal F. ↓, Goyes H. ↑,
46', Bone F. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
49', Caicedo L. 🟨,
55', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
64', Caicedo L. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
64', Valencia J. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
70', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
71', Mercado J. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
73', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
75', Mosquera D. 🟨,
77', Cantillo F. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
77', Marquez R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
78', Alarcon A. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Valois Y. ⚽, Camacho D. (A),
89', Murillo D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
90+3', Goyes H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2.

Recent performances by Unión Magdalena have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unión Magdalena will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
01.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	4:1 ✺
18.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTT
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
26.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.06.25	Atlético Cali - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1 ✺
05.06.25	Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
11.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1
Colombian Primera A
25.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	2:1
13.10.23	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	3:1
29.04.23	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto	2:1
23.07.22	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	1:2
03.02.22	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
24.08.19	Deportivo Pasto - Unión Magdalena	2:0

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