Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Vargas Carreno G. A. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Deportivo Cuenca		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.18	2.82	3.7	Watch
	2.25	2.93	3.81
	2.23	2.98	3.71	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.5
	2.34	3.1	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.96)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	3.64 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
42.1%

Draw
32%

Santos
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Deportivo Cuenca - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 14. Chacon J. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 37. Arboleda C. 8. Vega E. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 30. Maccari M. 49. Gonzalez D. 19. Diaz M. 9. Leguizamon N.	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 48. Gustavo Henrique 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 38. Rafael Gonzaga 15. Willian Arao 28. Oliva C. 19. Diaz L. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 21. Moises 11. Rony
Substitutes
53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 23. Guevara E. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M. 25. Lopez A. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G.	22. Barreal A. 1. Diogenes (G) 31. Escobar G. 98. Frias A. 18. Igor Vinicius 5. Joao Schmidt 7. Robinho Jr. 67. Rodrigo Falcao (G) 32. Rollheiser B. 16. Thaciano 2. Ze Ivaldo 6. Ze Rafael
Coaches
Celico J.	Cuca

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moises ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
46', Diaz M. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Gabriel Brazao (Own goal),
64', Rony ↓, Thaciano ↑,
64', Oliva C. ↓, Robinho Jr. ↑,
70', Boolsen P. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez D. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
73', Leguizamon N. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
73', Chacon J. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
73', Diaz L. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
81', Maccari M. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
82', Rafael Gonzaga ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
86', Ordonez J. 🟨,
86', Lucas Verissimo 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Santos - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 37.37%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.04.26	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WTLTW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Flamengo - Santos	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Santos - Remo	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Cruzeiro - Santos	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLT

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