Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sporting Cristal		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.00	8.00	Watch
	1.30	4.80	7.50
	1.37	4.75	8.00	Watch
	1.30	5.31	11.52
	1.4	4.63	7.51	Watch
	1.25	5.25	11.00
	1.33	5.26	8.02	Watch
	1.29	4.80	8.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	4.98 ↑ (4.58)	8.72 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Cristal
70.6%

Draw
18.7%

Deportivo Garcilaso
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Deportivo Garcilaso (5.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo Garcilaso (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 26. Wisdom I. 25. Tavara M. 29. Barcos H. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 14. Torrejon C. 6. Flores C. M. 11. Arancibia F. 27. Ascues A. 30. Da Silva B. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
96. Abram L. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 21. Cabellos C. 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 18. Gonzalez J. 7. Gonzalez S. 22. Hoyos M.	31. Barbieri J. (G) 35. Mendoza J. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 7. Rios L. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A. 10. Sandoval K. 33. Villacorta S.
Coaches
Mosquera R.	Dominguez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Sosa L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Salazar A. ↓, Portales J. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Tavara M. ⚽,
63', Torrejon C. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
63', Flores C. M. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
67', Tavara M. 🟨,
67', Tavara M. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
67', Avila I. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
70', Ascues A. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
75', Wisdom I. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
75', Barcos H. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 4.

Sporting Cristal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Garcilaso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sporting Cristal is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Red Card) Gonzales C. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Muscle Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ramos Rodriguez C. I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Araujo M. (Injury) Vizeu F. (Back Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
11.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 penalties ✺
27.06.26	Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Comerciantes Belén - Sporting Cristal	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	Cienciano - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 penalties ✺
29.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:1 ✺
21.06.26	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Juan Pablo II College	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	1:1
19.10.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	0:1
15.06.25	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:2
17.09.24	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
15.04.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	2:3
13.08.23	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	3:0
12.03.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal	4:4

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