Match Info
Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1Date: 17 July 2026, FridayLocation: Estadio Alberto Gallardo (Lima)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Sporting Cristal |
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Deportivo Garcilaso |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.36 |
4.5 |
7 |
 Watch |
 |
1.37 |
4.33 |
6.50 |
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 |
1.41 |
4.3 |
7.6 |
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1.4 |
4.64 |
7.81 |
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1.38 |
4.65 |
7.86 |
Watch |
 |
1.33 |
4.5 |
7.65 |
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1.38 |
4.55 |
7.7 |
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1.37 |
4.4 |
7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38
(1.38) |
4.48 ↓
(4.58) |
7.39 ↑
(7.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sporting Cristal
67% | Draw
20.5% | Deportivo Garcilaso
12.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Deportivo Garcilaso (5.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Deportivo Garcilaso (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 4.Sporting Cristal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Deportivo Garcilaso has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Sporting Cristal is the clear favorite.There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Red Card)
Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Muscle Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ramos Rodriguez C. I.
(Yellow Cards)There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Araujo M.
(Injury)
Vizeu F.
(Back Injury)In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2.3:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
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Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now
Sporting Cristal: 16.35% Deportivo Garcilaso: 2.41%
Standings
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
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| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Peruvian Liga 1 | | | 01.02.26 | Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal | 1:1 | | 19.10.25 | Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal | 0:1 | | 15.06.25 | Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso | 3:2 | | 17.09.24 | Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso | 1:0 | | 15.04.24 | Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal | 2:3 | | 13.08.23 | Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso | 3:0 | | 12.03.23 | Deportivo Garcilaso - Sporting Cristal | 4:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
