Match Info

GUATEMALA: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 21

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Deportivo Iztapa		Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.45	3.9	5.25
	1.37	4.45	6.07
	1.39	4.5	6.9
	1.42	4.3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.77)	4.23 ↑ (3.6)	6.26 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Iztapa
64.2%

Draw
21.4%

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Iztapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Iztapa's performance.

Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Iztapa than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Iztapa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Iztapa won 2.

Deportivo Iztapa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Lucía is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Iztapa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Deportivo Iztapa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Deportivo Iztapa won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Iztapa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Iztapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.04.23	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Iztapa	1:1 ✺
19.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Comunicaciones	1:5 ✺
15.04.23	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Iztapa	5:2 ✺
09.04.23	Deportivo Iztapa - Cobán Imperial	0:3 ✺
05.04.23	Malacateco - Deportivo Iztapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLLL
- Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Municipal	0:4 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Achuapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:0 ✺
19.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Comunicaciones - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.03.23	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	1:2
02.10.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	2:3
31.07.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
08.05.22	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	0:0
05.03.22	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	1:1
16.10.21	Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa - Deportivo Iztapa	3:3
11.08.21	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa	0:1

Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide