Match Info

Date: 27 May 2021, Thursday


	Deportivo La Equidad		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.88	3.6	3.45	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.35
	2.04	3.63	3.44
	1.91	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.68	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.88)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Equidad
47.7%

Draw
26%

Grêmio
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

17.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Grêmio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Equidad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.5%	6.5%	13%

Deportivo La Equidad - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo La Equidad will win (124 of 154 users predict this - 80.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.26% – 86.78%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches La Equidad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Grêmio in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grêmio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

La Equidad will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches La Equidad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Equidad
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.21	Lanús - Deportivo La Equidad	4:1 ✺
13.05.21	Aragua - Deportivo La Equidad	1:2 ✺
06.05.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Aragua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLTW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
23.05.21	Grêmio - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.21	Aragua - Grêmio	2:6 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
16.05.21	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.21	Grêmio - Lanús	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.05.21	Grêmio - Caxias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Grêmio - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1

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