Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Deportivo La Guaira		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	2	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.8	3.3	1.97	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.99
	3.81	3.44	1.98
	3.8	3.25	2.05	Watch
	3.74	3.44	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	3.36 ↓ (3.63)	2 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
25.1%

Draw
27.9%

Cerro Porteño
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

26%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

19.9%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Porteño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo La Guaira - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Deportivo La Guaira is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Cerro Porteño is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerro Porteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerro Porteño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.05.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.21	Deportivo La Guaira - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.21	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.04.21	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WTWTT
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.05.21	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Atlético Mineiro - Cerro Porteño	4:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
01.05.21	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.04.21	Guaireña - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Cerro Porteño - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0

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