Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Second stage - Round 26

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Macará		Cumbayá

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	7	Watch
	1.49	3.75	5.5
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.72
	1.53	3.94	6.4	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.51	4.01	6.36	Watch
	1.5	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	3.93 ↓ (3.97)	6.31 ↑ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
61.8%

Draw
23.5%

Cumbayá
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

23%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Macará - Cumbayá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Correa C. (G) 24. Quilumba D. 4. Jimenez J. 14. Marrufo J. 29. Zambrano R. 5. Alvarez L. 8. Espinoza J. 10. Morales J. 77. Avila V. 19. Munoz A. (C) 17. Lopez D.	1. Lemos A. (G) 2. Delgado F. 16. Gustavino L. 14. Suarez D. 37. Estacio G. 25. Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 4. Paredes J. (C) 8. Valencia M. 18. Almagro A. 7. Padilla J. 54. Caicedo B.
Substitutes
22. Cevallos J. (G) 9. Escobar J. 3. Freire B. 18. Lora R. 21. Macias J. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 28. Perea M. 16. Ramos P. 11. Valdez J. 25. Yepez J. 26. Zamora S.	5. Altuna A. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 19. Diaz M. 15. Ontivero L. 60. Ortiz D. 27. Ortiz J. 12. Pluas W. 29. Rivera K. 32. Vides B.
Coaches
Pallares A.	Chamorro Morales D. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Zambrano R. 🟨,
37', Marrufo J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Caicedo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Padilla J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
46', Jimenez J. ↓, Lora R. ↑,
46', Quilumba D. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
46', Lopez D. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
53', Alvarez L. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
62', Caicedo Piyajo L. D. 🟨,
70', Valencia M. ↓, Ontivero L. ↑,
70', Almagro A. ↓, Altuna A. ↑,
72', Zambrano R. ↓, Ramos P. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Morales J. ⚽,
80', Caicedo B. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
88', Delgado F. ↓, Rivera K. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Macará could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macará is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Macará won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Macará won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.10.24	SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
07.10.24	Deportivo Macará - Delfín	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Orense - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Deportivo Macará - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.10.24	Cumbayá - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
04.10.24	Libertad Loja - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Cumbayá - Emelec	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Cumbayá - SD Aucas	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	El Nacional - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0
14.08.22	Cumbayá - Deportivo Macará	1:0
04.04.22	Deportivo Macará - Cumbayá	0:0

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