The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 61.5%
Draw 22.6%
SD Aucas 15.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
21.3%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
20.4%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente del Valle's form might have worsened.
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
Ind del Valle is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Aucas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ind del Valle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind del Valle has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind del Valle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
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