The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente del Valle 60.9%
Draw 23.6%
SD Aucas 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
67.1%
21.3%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
20.4%
11.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente del Valle's form might have worsened.
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 19. Loor L. 6. Alcivar J. 11. Perello M. 28. Quintana H. 10. Sornoza J. (C) 31. Pata E. 9. Gonzalez C.
13. Piedra H. (C) 28. Quinonez R. 37. Zova A. 14. Tapiero S. 2. Morales S. 31. Carabali B. 21. Guzman P. 6. Spina A. L. 18. Mena A. 10. Preciado E. 29. Arroyo L.
Substitutes
16. Briones R. 15. Cortez G. 18. Gongora S. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 70. Peralta M. (G) 56. Quintero E. 57. Quintero H. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.
7. Andrade J. M. 11. Bolanos R. 4. Burdisso M. 1. Chaves I. (G) 9. Monti R. 30. Oyola B. 5. Serpa T. 57. Vera M. 17. Zambrano C.
Coaches
Papa J.
Araujo N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Guzman P. ⚽, Preciado E. (A),
34', Sornoza J. 🟨,
36', Sornoza J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Quintana H. ⚽,
59', Pata E. ↓, Gongora S. ↑,
60', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
66', Quintana H. 🟨,
67', Sornoza J. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
68', Carabali B. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
68', Arroyo L. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Gongora S. ⚽,
79', Mena A. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
80', Preciado E. ↓, Bolanos R. ↑,
86', Perello M. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
86', Quintana H. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
Ind del Valle has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Aucas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ind del Valle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind del Valle has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind del Valle against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).