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Current Win Probability
San Telmo 38.9%
Draw 35.4%
Gimnasia Jujuy 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
30.1%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
28.8%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Telmo's performance.
Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia Jujuy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia Jujuy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
San Telmo - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Formichelli S. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Sosa R. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 10. Astina M. 11. Ojeda L. 7. Porto J. 9. Cocimano S.
1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Soria H. 6. Dematei N. 3. Noble M. 8. Cordoba J. 5. Trasante J. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Menendez C.
Substitutes
18. Curcio N. 14. Dell Aquila G. 16. Iritier J. 17. Miranda L. 19. Nunez C. 12. Pablo J. 13. Pusula G. 15. Tello F. 20. Zurbriggen J.
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 13. Barreto R. 15. Barro L. 17. Casa M. 20. Fernandez G. 18. Juarez D. 14. Lopez D. 19. Perales J. 16. Zapatiel N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Morro N. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Enrico J. C. ⚽,
43', Noble M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Palazzo B. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
46', Menendez C. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Cocimano S. ⚽, Astina M. (A),
60', Maidana F. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
60', Molina F. ↓, Juarez D. ↑,
61', Astina M. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,
67', 3 - 2, Quintana A. ⚽,
72', Cocimano S. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
72', Britez E. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
77', Porto J. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
77', Astina M. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
79', Noble M. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
83', Nunez C. 🟨,
85', Sosa R. ↓, Pusula G. ↑,
87', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
87', Quintana A. 🟨,
90', Trasante J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Gimnasia Jujuy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Gimnasia Jujuy - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Enrico J. C. (G) 
Soria H. 
Nunez C. 
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