Match Info
Primera Nacional - Round 26Date: 23 August 2026, SundayLocation: Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti (Maipu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Deportivo Maipú |
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Quilmes |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.5 |
2.82 |
3.1 |
 Watch |
 |
2.30 |
2.95 |
3.10 |
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 |
2.12 |
2.85 |
3.55 |
Watch |
 |
2.44 |
2.96 |
3.39 |
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 |
2.41 |
2.92 |
3.26 |
Watch |
 |
2.35 |
2.9 |
3.25 |
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2.32 |
2.82 |
3.2 |
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2.34 |
2.85 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.34) |
2.88 ↑
(2.87) |
3.24 ↑
(3.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Deportivo Maipú
39.4% | Draw
32.1% | Quilmes
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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| 1.  Marinelli G. (G)
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| 10. Batista A.
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| 3. Bindella A.
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| 5. Bolivar A.
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| 6. Kippes A.
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| 8. Martinez R.
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| 4. Ortega A.
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| 2. Romeo L.
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| 9. Spetale A.
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| 7. Vega G.
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| 11. Vera U.
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| Substitutes |
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| 19. Bonacci P.
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| 12. Canadell J. (G)
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| 17. Colazo N.
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| 20. Lavezzi A.
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| 13. Novillo J.
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| 15. Ortega T.
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| 14. Rodriguez M. (G)
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| 16. Vallejos M.
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| 18. Yozwiak F.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Kippes A. 🟨,
- 42', Romeo L. 🟨,
- 44', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 0, Cabrera L. ⚽, Saccone F. (A),
- 53', Ortega A. 🟨,
- 55', Romeo L. ↓, Novillo J. ↑,
- 55', Martinez R. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
- 63', Gobetto J. 🟨,
- 65', Cabrera L. ↓, Giacone J. ↑,
- 66', Vega G. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
- 76', Vera U. ↓, Colazo N. ↑,
- 76', Spetale A. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
- 80', Colazo N. 🟨,
- 82', Bonfigli M. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
- 82', Silva T. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
- 87', Bonacci P. 🟨,
- 89', Gobetto J. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Quilmes has had a series of home games. Deportivo Maipú will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera Nacional | | | 05.04.26 | Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú | 2:1 | | 21.06.25 | Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú | 2:2 | | 16.02.25 | Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes | 2:0 | | 13.10.24 | Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú | 3:0 | | 26.05.24 | Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes | 1:1 | | 27.08.23 | Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes | 1:0 | | 16.04.23 | Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú | 0:2 |
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✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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