Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Deportivo Nueva Concepción		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.25	1.72
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	4.5	3.3	1.7
	4.73	3.59	1.74
	5	3.1	1.7
	4.55	3.46	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.06)	3.3 ↓ (3.8)	1.74 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Nueva Concepción
20.2%

Draw
27.5%

Antigua GFC
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Nueva Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Nueva Concepción than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Antigua GFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Nueva Concepción is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antigua is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nueva Concepción could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Antigua is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nueva Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nueva Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Nueva Concepción
Guatemala Liga Nacional
27.03.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Malacateco - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Sololá	1:0 ✺
02.03.22	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.03.22	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	6:0 ✺
13.03.22	Deportivo Achuapa - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Malacateco - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
02.03.22	Antigua GFC - Municipal	1:3 ✺
27.02.22	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
02.02.22	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:0
24.10.21	Deportivo Nueva Concepción - Antigua GFC	1:0
14.08.21	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Nueva Concepción	4:0

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