The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Pereira 13.6%
Draw 21.5%
Atlético Nacional 64.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11%
19.8%
69.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
10.5%
18.8%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera J. (C) 21. Pacheco W. 2. Urrea S. 29. Renteria R. 30. Bovone T. 3. Rengifo N. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 20. Monroy J. 10. Acosta S. 19. Aguirre M. 31. Diaz M.
15. Castillo H. (G) 6. Roman A. (C) 4. Haydar C. 16. Tesillo W. 33. Velasquez S. 21. Campuzano J. 18. Bello E. 10. Cardona E. 19. Rengifo J. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
Substitutes
12. Betancourth J. (G) 25. Delgado F. 11. Largacha J. 13. Morales J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 37. Moreno L. 8. Mosquera F. 24. Palacios M. 34. Urrea J.
27. Asprilla D. 44. Catano K. (G) 35. Lozano M. 14. Marin F. 7. Moreno M. 3. Parra N. 24. Rosa J. 5. Uribe C. 80. Zapata J.
Coaches
Reyes A.
Arias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Monroy J. ⚽,
19', Morelos A. 🟨,
45+4', Rengifo J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardona E. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
61', Diaz M. 🟨,
61', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
62', Diaz M. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
63', Acosta S. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
68', Bermudez Correa J. A. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
69', Bello E. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
74', Pacheco W. 🟨,
80', Velasquez S. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
81', Urrea S. 🟨,
86', Aguirre M. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
86', Largacha J. 🟨,
88', Tesillo W. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 2.
Pereira has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Atlético Nacional is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pereira won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Pereira won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Mosquera J. (C) 
Bovone T. 
Monroy J. 
Bello E. 
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