Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	15:10	FOX Sports


	Deportivo San Pedro		Malacateco

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.50	5.00
	1.68	3.35	4.25
	1.67	3.54	5.08
	1.8	3.45	4.46	Watch
	1.65	3.50	5.00
	1.74	3.55	4.70	Watch
	1.67	3.60	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.87)	3.5 ↑ (3.28)	4.74 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo San Pedro
54.4%

Draw
26.2%

Malacateco
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo San Pedro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo San Pedro's performance.

Malacateco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo San Pedro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo San Pedro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malacateco than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Deportivo San Pedro - Malacateco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cruz V. (G) 99. Aguila G. 2. Alvarez D. 8. Chacon J. 9. Colon S. 97. Fajardo J. 30. Folleco R. 22. Fuentes E. 14. Illescas K. 10. Macal E. 48. Moran Y. A.	. Guzman A. (G) . Andrade N. . Castanon J. . Chun M. . de Leon I. . Esqueda Romero J. A. . Meneses R. . Morales F. . Ochoa J. . Quinones E. . Vasquez G.
Substitutes
. dos Santos I. . Garcia E. 15. Gomez R. 28. Lopez C. . Martinez L. . Mendez R. (G) 11. Navarro A. 77. Navas J. 19. Salguero O.	. Comayagua R. . Cummings H. . Guzman Miron D. J. . Longo J. . Paz V. . Ramirez K. . Rendon C. (G) . Soto A. . Trigueno J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Illescas K. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Vasquez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Illescas K. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
46', Moran Y. A. ↓, dos Santos I. ↑,
58', Colon S. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Morales F. ⚽,
65', Chacon J. 🟨,
68', Chacon J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
68', de Leon I. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
70', Esqueda Romero J. A. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Folleco R. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
76', Vasquez G. ↓, Trigueno J. ↑,
76', Quinones E. ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
81', Andrade N. ↓, Longo J. ↑,
82', Meneses R. ↓, Cummings H. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, dos Santos I. ⚽,
90+1', Soto A. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 9th).

Deportivo San Pedro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Malacateco have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Malacateco could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Deportivo San Pedro has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Deportivo San Pedro is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Deportivo San Pedro has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Deportivo San Pedro	16	6	5	5	20:19	1	23
10	Malacateco	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.26	Aurora - Deportivo San Pedro	3:1 ✺
15.10.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo San Pedro	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Comunicaciones	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Xelajú - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo San Pedro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLL
- Deportivo Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.10.26	Malacateco - Comunicaciones	1:0 ✺
15.10.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Malacateco - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Cobán Imperial - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Marquense - Malacateco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Malacateco - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0

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