Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
World	Disney+


	Deportivo Saprissa		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.5
				Watch
	1.27	4.84	10.28
	1.29	4.79	9.68	Watch
	1.23	5.3	10.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.52)	4.66 ↑ (3.79)	8.92 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Saprissa
69.7%

Draw
19.9%

Antigua GFC
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Saprissa's performance.

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua GFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Saprissa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antigua GFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Deportivo Saprissa - Antigua GFC Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Saprissa will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Alvarado E. (G) 32. Gomez K. 4. Waston K. (C) 23. Duarte O. 5. Mora J. 21. Escobar F. 9. East J. 17. Hernandez Y. 37. Vivi Quesada G. 8. Guzman D. 14. Rodriguez A.	31. Moran L. (G) 5. Galvez J. 12. Ardon J. (C) 17. Castellanos O. 15. Diaz A. 30. de L. B. 21. Robinson A. 19. Espinoza J. 99. Romarinho 14. Gomez S. 77. Flores Barrios R. D.
Substitutes
31. Aleman F. 13. Alfaro I. (G) 16. Anderson E. 3. Arboine P. 19. Bolanos R. 6. Brenes J. 11. Diaz L. 40. Madriz A. (G) 30. Segura U. 20. Torres M. 7. Valverde J. 28. Vega D.	18. Avila Jr M. 9. Bradley D. 4. Carbonell J. 25. Carbonell J. 2. Grijalva K. 29. Guerra O. 8. Hernandez C. 3. Lang D. 1. Linares B. (G) 22. Navas D. (G) 54. Sagastume S. 16. Santis D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
45', Hernandez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez Y. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
58', de L. B. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
58', Mora J. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
58', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
66', Flores Barrios R. D. 🟨,
69', Espinoza J. ↓, Grijalva K. ↑,
72', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Vega D. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Galvez J. ⚽,
87', Gomez S. ↓, Bradley D. ↑,
88', Waston K. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 3, Bradley D. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Saprissa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Antigua is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saprissa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Saprissa is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Saprissa to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saprissa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
28.09.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
24.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Saprissa	0:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.09.24	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Pérez Zeledón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWT
- Antigua GFC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
24.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Saprissa	0:0 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.09.24	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:1 ✺
18.09.24	Municipal - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Antigua GFC - Malacateco	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Zacapa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
24.09.24	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Saprissa	0:0

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