Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	19:00	ESPN 4


	Deportivo Táchira		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.93
	3.95	3.4	1.95
	4.17	3.53	1.95
	4.17	3.53	1.88
	3.8	3.4	1.85	Watch
	4.01	3.5	1.94	Watch
	4	3.2	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.5)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	1.92 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
23.3%

Draw
27.6%

Nacional Montevideo
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

28.8%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

28.2%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Deportivo Táchira - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Camargo J. (G) 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 2. Vivas C. 3. Gutierez J. 29. Vargas J. 15. Cova M. (C) 20. Calzadilla C. 28. Mendoza G. 23. Hernandez Y. 16. Hernandez J. 9. Uribe A.	12. Mejia L. (G) 14. Lozano L. 3. Izquierdo J. 23. Polenta D. (C) 11. Baez Corradi G. 8. Oliva C. 7. Galeano A. 26. Sanabria L. 16. Castro A. 19. Gonzalez G. 20. Carneiro G.
Substitutes
1. Araque A. (G) 13. Camacho P. 7. Castillo B. 19. Castillo J. 18. Chacon Y. 8. Figueroa J. 33. Hernandez N. 27. Murillo A. 6. Paz Benitez O. 25. Rios A. 17. Saggiomo D. 10. Sosa C.	13. Antoni M. 9. Bentancourt R. 6. Cairus F. 30. Ebere C. 17. Ginella F. 10. Pereyra M. 18. Recoba J. 5. Romero F. 29. Santander F. 25. Suarez I. (G) 2. Velazquez E. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Sarago E.	Recoba A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Vargas J. 🟨,
44', Oliva C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Saggiomo D. ↑,
46', Vargas J. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
52', Castro A. 🟨,
53', 0 - 1, Castro A. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
60', Polenta D. 🟨,
61', Ruiz Diaz H. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
68', Hernandez Y. 🟥,
69', Galeano A. 🟨,
72', Cova M. 🟨,
73', Gonzalez G. ↓, Cairus F. ↑,
73', Oliva C. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
73', Castro A. ↓, Pereyra M. ↑,
74', Uribe A. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,
77', Cairus F. 🟨,
79', Carneiro G. 🟨,
80', Carneiro G. ↓, Ebere C. ↑,
83', Calzadilla C. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90', Galeano A. ↓, Romero F. ↑,

Preview

Deportivo Táchira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional have a series of home games.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Táchira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Deportivo Táchira - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
24.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.24	Libertad Asuncion - Deportivo Táchira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	4:2 ✺
28.04.24	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.04.24	Nacional Montevideo - Deportivo Táchira	2:1

Upcoming Matches