Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 5, ESPN 7
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN 5, ESPN 7
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN 7, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Deportivo La Guaira		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.7	1.6	Watch
	5.25	3.6	1.66
	6.4	3.7	1.55	Watch
	6.72	3.9	1.59
	6.29	3.8	1.59
	6	3.5	1.57
	6.53	3.76	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.24 ↑ (4.79)	3.71 ↑ (3.58)	1.6 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
15.2%

Draw
25.5%

Fluminense
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

26.1%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

27.4%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Deportivo La Guaira - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 4. Rivero C. (C) 3. Osio D. 20. Gutierrez J. 8. Perdomo J. 27. Correa J. 13. Ibarra R. 7. Meza J. 36. Londono F. 32. Caceres F.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 11. Savarino J. 9. John Kennedy
Substitutes
77. Arace R. 10. Castellanos J. 14. Da Silva C. 6. Faya C. 5. Gianoli M. 33. Hernandez N. 24. Ortiz G. 25. Paredes J. 18. Rivas Y. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 11. Vargas J.	25. Alisson 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 23. Guga 13. Guilherme Arana 4. Ignacio 29. Millan J. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 90. Serna K. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
Coaches
Bidoglio H.	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Correa J. ↓, Faya C. ↑,
52', Caceres F. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
60', Osio D. 🟨,
65', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
66', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
66', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
70', Rivero C. 🟨,
74', Meza J. ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
74', Londono F. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
79', Paredes J. 🟨,
87', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
87', Acosta L. ↓, Cano G. ↑,
88', Hercules ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
88', Gutierrez J. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Deportivo La Guaira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F. (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Inactive) Nonato (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Fluminense: 9.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTTW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	Coritiba - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Fluminense - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

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