Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Deportivo Táchira		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.33	1.49
	6	4.35	1.5	Watch
	6	4.59	1.54
	5.72	4.6	1.51
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.6	4.45	1.48	Watch
	6	4.3	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↓ (6.19)	4.42 ↑ (4.32)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
15.3%

Draw
21.3%

River Plate Montevideo
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21.7%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

21%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Deportivo Táchira - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate Montevideo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araque A. (G) 2. Vivas C. 27. Murillo A. 6. Paz Benitez O. 33. Hernandez N. 15. Cova M. (C) 24. Robles C. 8. Figueroa J. 25. Rios A. 7. Castillo B. 18. Chacon Y.	1. Armani F. (C) 2. Boselli S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 17. Diaz P. 13. Diaz E. 29. Aliendro R. 4. Fonseca N. 36. Solari P. 26. Fernandez N. 11. Colidio F. 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
20. Calzadilla C. 13. Camacho P. 50. Camargo J. (G) 19. Castillo J. 11. Diaz D. 16. Hernandez J. 23. Hernandez Y. 4. Ruiz Diaz H. 10. Sosa C. 44. Tamiche E. 9. Uribe A. 29. Vargas J.	21. Barco E. 20. Casco M. 33. Centurion E. (G) 19. Echeverri C. 15. Herrera A. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Lanzini M. 6. Martinez D. 8. Palavecino A. 31. Simon S. 23. Villagra R. 22. Zabala D.
Coaches
Sarago E.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Fernandez N. 🟨,
10', Paz Benitez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', Figueroa J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
65', Castillo B. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
68', Fernandez N. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
70', Chacon Y. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Boselli S. ⚽,
75', Hernandez N. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Fonseca N. ⚽,
80', Solari P. ↓, Simon S. ↑,
80', Colidio F. ↓, Barco E. ↑,
83', Rios A. ↓, Sosa C. ↑,
83', Murillo A. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
85', Aliendro R. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
90+2', Boselli S. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Táchira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently River Plate have a series of guest games.

In this match River Plate is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Monagas	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Angostura - Deportivo Táchira	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLL
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate Montevideo	4:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.03.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	River Plate Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.03.24	Cerro - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTLW

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