The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Zacapa 26.6%
Draw 26%
Antigua GFC 47.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.4%
22.6%
66%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11.3%
22.4%
66.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Zacapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Zacapa's performance.
Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua GFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Zacapa than the current prediction. (-15.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Zacapa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+19.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antigua GFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Zacapa - Antigua GFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Flores E. (G) 6. Aguero J. 8. Aldana B. 23. Buenafe M. 20. Garcia E. 21. Garcia K. 17. Marroquin D. 7. Martinez L. (C) 19. Nerio W. 28. Osurak M. 27. Valenzuela O.
31. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 17. Castellanos O. 15. Diaz A. 5. Galvez J. 14. Gomez S. 8. Hernandez C. 7. Macareno K. 21. Robinson A. 99. Romario 54. Sagastume S.
Substitutes
77. Avila E. 15. Coito S. 11. Escobar H. 14. Guzman Miron D. J. 33. Morales O. (G) 24. Paz Barrios V. A. 10. Pizarro T. 9. Polanco C.
9. Bradley D. 25. Carbonell J. 30. de L. B. 19. Espinoza J. 77. Flores Barrios R. D. 2. Grijalva K. 3. Lang D. 22. Navas D. (G) 33. Prillwitz H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Macareno K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Macareno K. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Antigua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Deportivo Zacapa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Antigua is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Antigua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Antigua is certain favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Zacapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Zacapa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).